Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a strong trader consensus lead at 70% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his dominant 44%-33% first-round victory over State Rep. Julie Johnson in the March 3 primary for the newly redrawn Dallas-area safe Democratic seat. Allred's momentum stems from his prior congressional experience in neighboring TX-32, name recognition from his 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and a robust Q1 2026 fundraising total of $1.8 million—including $950,000 raised since mid-February—bolstering his campaign resources. Johnson remains viable with local legislative backing and voter turnout potential, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez garnered under 1% each and were eliminated. Absent recent polls, primary margins and finances drive the odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertColin Allred 70%
Julie Johnson 29%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,494 Vol.
$54,494 Vol.
Colin Allred
70%
Julie Johnson
29%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 70%
Julie Johnson 29%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,494 Vol.
$54,494 Vol.
Colin Allred
70%
Julie Johnson
29%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a strong trader consensus lead at 70% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his dominant 44%-33% first-round victory over State Rep. Julie Johnson in the March 3 primary for the newly redrawn Dallas-area safe Democratic seat. Allred's momentum stems from his prior congressional experience in neighboring TX-32, name recognition from his 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and a robust Q1 2026 fundraising total of $1.8 million—including $950,000 raised since mid-February—bolstering his campaign resources. Johnson remains viable with local legislative backing and voter turnout potential, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez garnered under 1% each and were eliminated. Absent recent polls, primary margins and finances drive the odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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