Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTX-21 Wahlsieger
TX-21 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$7,644 Vol.
85%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,644Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,644Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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