Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy's departure to run for Texas attorney general opened TX-21, a solidly Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+11, but traders price Republicans at 84.5% following Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win at 62.6% and superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised. Democrat Kristin Hook, who lost to Roy by 26 points here in 2024, secured her nomination with 60.4% but trails in resources at under $101,000 raised. No recent polls show a competitive general election matchup ahead of November 3, aligning market consensus with forecasters' Safe Republican ratings amid national generic ballot Democratic edges that rarely pierce deep-red districts like this.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTX-21 Wahlsieger
TX-21 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$7,644 Vol.
85%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy's departure to run for Texas attorney general opened TX-21, a solidly Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+11, but traders price Republicans at 84.5% following Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win at 62.6% and superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised. Democrat Kristin Hook, who lost to Roy by 26 points here in 2024, secured her nomination with 60.4% but trails in resources at under $101,000 raised. No recent polls show a competitive general election matchup ahead of November 3, aligning market consensus with forecasters' Safe Republican ratings amid national generic ballot Democratic edges that rarely pierce deep-red districts like this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,644Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy's departure to run for Texas attorney general opened TX-21, a solidly Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+11, but traders price Republicans at 84.5% following Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win at 62.6% and superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised. Democrat Kristin Hook, who lost to Roy by 26 points here in 2024, secured her nomination with 60.4% but trails in resources at under $101,000 raised. No recent polls show a competitive general election matchup ahead of November 3, aligning market consensus with forecasters' Safe Republican ratings amid national generic ballot Democratic edges that rarely pierce deep-red districts like this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,644Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy's departure to run for Texas attorney general opened TX-21, a solidly Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+11, but traders price Republicans at 84.5% following Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win at 62.6% and superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised. Democrat Kristin Hook, who lost to Roy by 26 points here in 2024, secured her nomination with 60.4% but trails in resources at under $101,000 raised. No recent polls show a competitive general election matchup ahead of November 3, aligning market consensus with forecasters' Safe Republican ratings amid national generic ballot Democratic edges that rarely pierce deep-red districts like this.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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