$277,865 Vol.
$277,865 Vol.
Aug 31, 2024
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Kamala Harris according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 19 and August 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Kamala Harris according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 19 and August 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.
Erstellt am: Aug 20, 2024, 3:21 PM ET
Volumen
$277,865Enddatum
Aug 31, 2024Erstellt am
Aug 20, 2024, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
$277,865 Vol.
$277,865 Vol.
Aug 31, 2024
Über
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Kamala Harris according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 19 and August 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Kamala Harris according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 19 and August 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the August 31 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Trump with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Harris.
Volumen
$277,865Enddatum
Aug 31, 2024Erstellt am
Aug 20, 2024, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.