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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz

Market icon
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz

SPD 100.0%

CDU <1%

Die Linke <1%

AfD <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

SPD 100.0%

CDU <1%

Die Linke <1%

AfD <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Market icon

CDU

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

SPD

$0 Vol.

Ja

Market icon

Die Linke

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

AfD

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

Grüne

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

FW

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

BSW

$0 Vol.

Nein

Market icon

FDP

$0 Vol.

Nein

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices SPD at near-certainty for second place in the Rheinland-Pfalz Landtag election, driven by consistent polls showing CDU's commanding lead for first at 35-38% and SPD's solid 27-30% share well ahead of challengers. Incumbent Minister-President Malu Dreyer's sustained popularity bolsters SPD's regional strength amid stable voter support, while Greens hover at 12-14%, AfD at 9-11%, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. This hierarchy has held across recent Forsa and INSA surveys with minimal shifts. Realistic challenges would require a dramatic AfD surge, Green rebound, or CDU collapse—low-probability scenarios absent major scandals—ahead of the March 2026 vote, though September 2025 federal elections could indirectly influence state dynamics.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
22. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices SPD at near-certainty for second place in the Rheinland-Pfalz Landtag election, driven by consistent polls showing CDU's commanding lead for first at 35-38% and SPD's solid 27-30% share well ahead of challengers. Incumbent Minister-President Malu Dreyer's sustained popularity bolsters SPD's regional strength amid stable voter support, while Greens hover at 12-14%, AfD at 9-11%, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. This hierarchy has held across recent Forsa and INSA surveys with minimal shifts. Realistic challenges would require a dramatic AfD surge, Green rebound, or CDU collapse—low-probability scenarios absent major scandals—ahead of the March 2026 vote, though September 2025 federal elections could indirectly influence state dynamics.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
22. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „SPD" mit 100%, gefolgt von „CDU" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Feb 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz" ist „SPD" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „CDU" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.