U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a fresh Emerson College poll showing him at 46% support—far ahead of James Fishback and Jay Collins at 4% each, with 39% undecided—bolstered by his record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising and President Trump's early endorsement. This reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring his congressional profile and alignment with GOP priorities like border security amid Ron DeSantis's term limit. High undecideds leave room for challenges from a consolidated anti-Donalds challenger, late high-profile entrant like Casey DeSantis, scandal, or endorsement shift before the August primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertByron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.3%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,241,188 Vol.
$1,241,188 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
Byron Donalds
91%
James Fishback
8%
Jay Collins
1%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
Byron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.3%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,241,188 Vol.
$1,241,188 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
Byron Donalds
$87,349 Vol.
91%
James Fishback
$302,893 Vol.
8%
Jay Collins
$616,318 Vol.
1%
Casey DeSantis
$170,846 Vol.
<1%
Wilton Simpson
$15,296 Vol.
<1%
Matt Gaetz
$21,590 Vol.
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
$26,896 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a fresh Emerson College poll showing him at 46% support—far ahead of James Fishback and Jay Collins at 4% each, with 39% undecided—bolstered by his record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising and President Trump's early endorsement. This reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring his congressional profile and alignment with GOP priorities like border security amid Ron DeSantis's term limit. High undecideds leave room for challenges from a consolidated anti-Donalds challenger, late high-profile entrant like Casey DeSantis, scandal, or endorsement shift before the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,241,188Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a fresh Emerson College poll showing him at 46% support—far ahead of James Fishback and Jay Collins at 4% each, with 39% undecided—bolstered by his record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising and President Trump's early endorsement. This reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring his congressional profile and alignment with GOP priorities like border security amid Ron DeSantis's term limit. High undecideds leave room for challenges from a consolidated anti-Donalds challenger, late high-profile entrant like Casey DeSantis, scandal, or endorsement shift before the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,241,188Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a fresh Emerson College poll showing him at 46% support—far ahead of James Fishback and Jay Collins at 4% each, with 39% undecided—bolstered by his record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising and President Trump's early endorsement. This reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring his congressional profile and alignment with GOP priorities like border security amid Ron DeSantis's term limit. High undecideds leave room for challenges from a consolidated anti-Donalds challenger, late high-profile entrant like Casey DeSantis, scandal, or endorsement shift before the August primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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