The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented race with the Parti Québécois leading in recent polls but unlikely to secure a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec and competitive showings by the Liberals and Conservatives. Historical turnout in the last two general elections hovered near 66%, establishing a baseline that aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 66-70% range. A wide-open contest across regions, combined with debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, has sustained voter attention without clear signs of exceptional mobilization or apathy. Advance voting options and a new electoral map could modestly support participation near historical norms, while late-campaign developments in key ridings remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 62-66% or 70-74% brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert66-70% 30%
70-74 % 23%
62-66 % 21%
58-62 % 11%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<58%
9%
58-62 %
11%
62-66 %
21%
66-70%
30%
70-74 %
23%
74 %+
9%
66-70% 30%
70-74 % 23%
62-66 % 21%
58-62 % 11%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<58%
$374 Vol.
9%
58-62 %
$100 Vol.
11%
62-66 %
$103 Vol.
21%
66-70%
$191 Vol.
30%
70-74 %
$142 Vol.
23%
74 %+
$233 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented race with the Parti Québécois leading in recent polls but unlikely to secure a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec and competitive showings by the Liberals and Conservatives. Historical turnout in the last two general elections hovered near 66%, establishing a baseline that aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 66-70% range. A wide-open contest across regions, combined with debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, has sustained voter attention without clear signs of exceptional mobilization or apathy. Advance voting options and a new electoral map could modestly support participation near historical norms, while late-campaign developments in key ridings remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 62-66% or 70-74% brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volumen
$1,143Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented race with the Parti Québécois leading in recent polls but unlikely to secure a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec and competitive showings by the Liberals and Conservatives. Historical turnout in the last two general elections hovered near 66%, establishing a baseline that aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 66-70% range. A wide-open contest across regions, combined with debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, has sustained voter attention without clear signs of exceptional mobilization or apathy. Advance voting options and a new electoral map could modestly support participation near historical norms, while late-campaign developments in key ridings remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 62-66% or 70-74% brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$1,143Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented race with the Parti Québécois leading in recent polls but unlikely to secure a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec and competitive showings by the Liberals and Conservatives. Historical turnout in the last two general elections hovered near 66%, establishing a baseline that aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 66-70% range. A wide-open contest across regions, combined with debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, has sustained voter attention without clear signs of exceptional mobilization or apathy. Advance voting options and a new electoral map could modestly support participation near historical norms, while late-campaign developments in key ridings remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 62-66% or 70-74% brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen