Market icon
Politik·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Polymarket

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,531,479,285 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Joe Biden

$72,176,112 Vol.

No

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$107,529,158 Vol.

No

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$54,161,276 Vol.

No

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$141,605,111 Vol.

No

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$46,309,049 Vol.

No

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$21,181,731 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$1,037,039,118 Vol.

No

Market icon

Chris Christie

$14,192,736 Vol.

No

Market icon

Elizabeth Warren

$14,714,814 Vol.

No

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$9,829,356 Vol.

No

Market icon

AOC

$22,011,561 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other Democrat Politician

$116,558,196 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other Republican Politician

$241,655,100 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kanye

$9,203,012 Vol.

No

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$153,382,276 Vol.

No

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$93,307,168 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.
Volumen
$3,686,335,059
Enddatum
Nov 5, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Presidential Election Winner 2024" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Donald Trump" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Joe Biden" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Presidential Election Winner 2024" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $3.7 billion generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 4, 2024 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Presidential Election Winner 2024" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Presidential Election Winner 2024" ist „Donald Trump" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Joe Biden" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Presidential Election Winner 2024" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.