Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official nomination or appointment signals for Condoleezza Rice in the Trump administration more than 15 months after inauguration, with the April 30 deadline now weeks away. Key positions like Secretary of State filled early by loyalists such as Marco Rubio underscore a preference for America First figures over Bush-era neoconservatives like Rice, whose Iraq War legacy draws base backlash. Her March 6 White House visit advised on Iran strikes but signaled consultation, not recruitment. Realistic shifts require a sudden vacancy in a senior role and public overtures from Trump—low-probability Hail Marys amid locked-in cabinet dynamics.
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NEU
30. Apr. 2026
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NEU
30. Apr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official nomination or appointment signals for Condoleezza Rice in the Trump administration more than 15 months after inauguration, with the April 30 deadline now weeks away. Key positions like Secretary of State filled early by loyalists such as Marco Rubio underscore a preference for America First figures over Bush-era neoconservatives like Rice, whose Iraq War legacy draws base backlash. Her March 6 White House visit advised on Iran strikes but signaled consultation, not recruitment. Realistic shifts require a sudden vacancy in a senior role and public overtures from Trump—low-probability Hail Marys amid locked-in cabinet dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,636Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official nomination or appointment signals for Condoleezza Rice in the Trump administration more than 15 months after inauguration, with the April 30 deadline now weeks away. Key positions like Secretary of State filled early by loyalists such as Marco Rubio underscore a preference for America First figures over Bush-era neoconservatives like Rice, whose Iraq War legacy draws base backlash. Her March 6 White House visit advised on Iran strikes but signaled consultation, not recruitment. Realistic shifts require a sudden vacancy in a senior role and public overtures from Trump—low-probability Hail Marys amid locked-in cabinet dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,636Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official nomination or appointment signals for Condoleezza Rice in the Trump administration more than 15 months after inauguration, with the April 30 deadline now weeks away. Key positions like Secretary of State filled early by loyalists such as Marco Rubio underscore a preference for America First figures over Bush-era neoconservatives like Rice, whose Iraq War legacy draws base backlash. Her March 6 White House visit advised on Iran strikes but signaled consultation, not recruitment. Realistic shifts require a sudden vacancy in a senior role and public overtures from Trump—low-probability Hail Marys amid locked-in cabinet dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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