In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.6% implied probability, driven by the district's deep Republican tilt—rated R+19 by Cook Political Report and Trump-won by 37 points in 2024—and his endorsement from President Trump, bolstering base turnout in this low-participation contest. Fuller, the Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit District Attorney, advanced from the March 10 jungle primary alongside Democrat Shawn Harris, a retired Army brigadier general, after topping a 17-candidate field despite GOP vote-splitting. Early voting began March 30 with no reported surges, and a March 23 debate underscored Fuller's alignment on economy and foreign policy priorities. While a dramatic Democratic turnout spike or late scandal could challenge the frontrunner, historical special election patterns and incumbency advantages in solidly red districts make an upset unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertClayton Fuller 96.6%
Shawn Harris 3.6%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$226,587 Vol.
$226,587 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
97%
Shawn Harris
4%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
Clayton Fuller 96.6%
Shawn Harris 3.6%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$226,587 Vol.
$226,587 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
97%
Shawn Harris
4%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.6% implied probability, driven by the district's deep Republican tilt—rated R+19 by Cook Political Report and Trump-won by 37 points in 2024—and his endorsement from President Trump, bolstering base turnout in this low-participation contest. Fuller, the Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit District Attorney, advanced from the March 10 jungle primary alongside Democrat Shawn Harris, a retired Army brigadier general, after topping a 17-candidate field despite GOP vote-splitting. Early voting began March 30 with no reported surges, and a March 23 debate underscored Fuller's alignment on economy and foreign policy priorities. While a dramatic Democratic turnout spike or late scandal could challenge the frontrunner, historical special election patterns and incumbency advantages in solidly red districts make an upset unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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