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Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Market icon

Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Rafael López Aliaga 33%

Keiko Fujimori 20%

Carlos Álvarez 15.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,891,928 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 33%

Keiko Fujimori 20%

Carlos Álvarez 15.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,891,928 Vol.

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Rafael López Aliaga

$631,709 Vol.

33%

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Keiko Fujimori

$259,643 Vol.

20%

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Carlos Álvarez

$155,112 Vol.

15%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$349,520 Vol.

9%

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Alfonso López Chau

$227,095 Vol.

9%

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Jorge Nieto

$694,844 Vol.

6%

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Ricardo Belmont

$224,619 Vol.

3%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$212,278 Vol.

1%

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Carlos Espá

$156,454 Vol.

1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$384,441 Vol.

1%

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Mesías Guevara

$122,825 Vol.

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$192,020 Vol.

1%

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George Forsyth

$140,380 Vol.

<1%

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César Acuña

$115,219 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$76,331 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$138,954 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$68,408 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$97,146 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$109,685 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$134,357 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$107,330 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$130,797 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$163,033 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's presidential first-round election set for April 12, trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 32.5% implied probability in a fragmented field of over 30 candidates, reflecting recent polls where he edges or ties Keiko Fujimori (20% on market), both right-wing frontrunners appealing to voters weary of post-2021 instability. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Datum, and Law Peru show López Aliaga at 17-22% versus Fujimori's 12-19%, boosted by his anti-corruption rhetoric and businessman profile differentiating him from Fujimori's established Fuerza Popular machine and Carlos Álvarez's (15.3%) conservative surge. Undecided voters (30-40%) and yesterday's final televised debate could consolidate right-wing support, averting a surprise runoff qualifier amid no candidate polling above 25%.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$4,891,928
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's presidential first-round election set for April 12, trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 32.5% implied probability in a fragmented field of over 30 candidates, reflecting recent polls where he edges or ties Keiko Fujimori (20% on market), both right-wing frontrunners appealing to voters weary of post-2021 instability. Late March surveys from Ipsos, Datum, and Law Peru show López Aliaga at 17-22% versus Fujimori's 12-19%, boosted by his anti-corruption rhetoric and businessman profile differentiating him from Fujimori's established Fuerza Popular machine and Carlos Álvarez's (15.3%) conservative surge. Undecided voters (30-40%) and yesterday's final televised debate could consolidate right-wing support, averting a surprise runoff qualifier amid no candidate polling above 25%.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$4,891,928
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 33%, gefolgt von „Keiko Fujimori" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 33¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $4.9 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 33%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Keiko Fujimori" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.