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Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Market icon

Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Carlos Álvarez 29.8%

Keiko Fujimori 23%

Rafael López Aliaga 18%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.4%

Polymarket

$6,064,742 Vol.

Carlos Álvarez 29.8%

Keiko Fujimori 23%

Rafael López Aliaga 18%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.4%

Polymarket

$6,064,742 Vol.

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Carlos Álvarez

$241,521 Vol.

30%

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Keiko Fujimori

$328,734 Vol.

23%

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Rafael López Aliaga

$838,366 Vol.

18%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$438,625 Vol.

16%

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Ricardo Belmont

$341,274 Vol.

5%

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Alfonso López Chau

$349,893 Vol.

3%

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Jorge Nieto

$815,169 Vol.

3%

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Carlos Espá

$196,099 Vol.

1%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$269,367 Vol.

1%

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César Acuña

$135,664 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$130,629 Vol.

<1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$406,983 Vol.

<1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$224,787 Vol.

<1%

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Mesías Guevara

$157,255 Vol.

<1%

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George Forsyth

$155,380 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$154,061 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$88,224 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$178,602 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$155,323 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$119,408 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$82,591 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$116,458 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$141,859 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors comedian Carlos Álvarez at 30% implied probability to win Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote or subsequent runoff, propelled by his post-debate surge in the latest Ipsos poll to 19%—up from 14% in early March—via viral impersonations and outsider appeal amid voter fatigue with corruption, crime, and instability. Keiko Fujimori slipped to 11% despite prior leads and experience, while Rafael López Aliaga (18%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16%) hold as conservative and progressive alternatives in a fragmented 35-candidate field with 17% undecideds. Regional turnout divides—Sánchez strong in south, right-wingers in Lima—keeping the race tight; final endorsements, scandals, or mobilization could propel a frontrunner to runoff dominance by June 7.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$6,064,742
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors comedian Carlos Álvarez at 30% implied probability to win Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote or subsequent runoff, propelled by his post-debate surge in the latest Ipsos poll to 19%—up from 14% in early March—via viral impersonations and outsider appeal amid voter fatigue with corruption, crime, and instability. Keiko Fujimori slipped to 11% despite prior leads and experience, while Rafael López Aliaga (18%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16%) hold as conservative and progressive alternatives in a fragmented 35-candidate field with 17% undecideds. Regional turnout divides—Sánchez strong in south, right-wingers in Lima—keeping the race tight; final endorsements, scandals, or mobilization could propel a frontrunner to runoff dominance by June 7.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$6,064,742
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Álvarez" mit 30%, gefolgt von „Keiko Fujimori" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 30¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $6.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist „Carlos Álvarez" mit 30%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Keiko Fujimori" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.