Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong track record in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District—a D+7 battleground per partisan voting index, where she secured over 60% in recent elections—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, including stable fundraising edges and lack of competitive polling for Republican challenger Edward Maloney, the market reflects incumbency advantages and district lean amid national House battleground dynamics. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 5 general election; realistic challenges would require a massive GOP wave, Scanlon scandal, or legal hurdles, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPA-05 Wahlsieger
PA-05 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong track record in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District—a D+7 battleground per partisan voting index, where she secured over 60% in recent elections—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, including stable fundraising edges and lack of competitive polling for Republican challenger Edward Maloney, the market reflects incumbency advantages and district lean amid national House battleground dynamics. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 5 general election; realistic challenges would require a massive GOP wave, Scanlon scandal, or legal hurdles, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong track record in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District—a D+7 battleground per partisan voting index, where she secured over 60% in recent elections—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, including stable fundraising edges and lack of competitive polling for Republican challenger Edward Maloney, the market reflects incumbency advantages and district lean amid national House battleground dynamics. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 5 general election; realistic challenges would require a massive GOP wave, Scanlon scandal, or legal hurdles, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong track record in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District—a D+7 battleground per partisan voting index, where she secured over 60% in recent elections—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, including stable fundraising edges and lack of competitive polling for Republican challenger Edward Maloney, the market reflects incumbency advantages and district lean amid national House battleground dynamics. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 5 general election; realistic challenges would require a massive GOP wave, Scanlon scandal, or legal hurdles, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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