Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced uncontested through the March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voter index. The district's conservative tilt—where Trump would carry it by 14 points under current maps from 2025 redistricting—combined with Murphy's prior 77% general election win and $2 million campaign war chest, positions Democrats as longshots despite Raymond Smith Jr.'s primary victory over Allison Jaslow. No major post-primary shifts have emerged, though national midterm dynamics and generic ballot closeness statewide could influence turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNC-03 Wahlsieger
NC-03 Wahlsieger
$12,796 Vol.
$12,796 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
13%
$12,796 Vol.
$12,796 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$9,057 Vol.
85%
Demokratische Partei
$3,739 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced uncontested through the March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voter index. The district's conservative tilt—where Trump would carry it by 14 points under current maps from 2025 redistricting—combined with Murphy's prior 77% general election win and $2 million campaign war chest, positions Democrats as longshots despite Raymond Smith Jr.'s primary victory over Allison Jaslow. No major post-primary shifts have emerged, though national midterm dynamics and generic ballot closeness statewide could influence turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$12,796Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced uncontested through the March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voter index. The district's conservative tilt—where Trump would carry it by 14 points under current maps from 2025 redistricting—combined with Murphy's prior 77% general election win and $2 million campaign war chest, positions Democrats as longshots despite Raymond Smith Jr.'s primary victory over Allison Jaslow. No major post-primary shifts have emerged, though national midterm dynamics and generic ballot closeness statewide could influence turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,796Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced uncontested through the March 3 primary, reinforcing trader consensus at 84% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voter index. The district's conservative tilt—where Trump would carry it by 14 points under current maps from 2025 redistricting—combined with Murphy's prior 77% general election win and $2 million campaign war chest, positions Democrats as longshots despite Raymond Smith Jr.'s primary victory over Allison Jaslow. No major post-primary shifts have emerged, though national midterm dynamics and generic ballot closeness statewide could influence turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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