Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-09 Wahlsieger
CA-09 Wahlsieger
$11,756 Vol.
$11,756 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
91%
Republikanische Partei
9%
$11,756 Vol.
$11,756 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$9,166 Vol.
91%
Republikanische Partei
$2,590 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$11,756Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,756Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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