Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. A national midterm wave, primary upset, or late-cycle controversy could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations for the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMD-03 Wahlsieger
MD-03 Wahlsieger
$22,761 Vol.
$22,761 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$22,761 Vol.
$22,761 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$15,939 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. A national midterm wave, primary upset, or late-cycle controversy could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$22,761Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. A national midterm wave, primary upset, or late-cycle controversy could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,761Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd Congressional District maintains a D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major scandals. A national midterm wave, primary upset, or late-cycle controversy could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations for the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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