Sarah Elfreth secured reelection as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, defeating Republican Berney Flowers in a race called by the Associated Press on election night. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior presidential margins of roughly D+23 to D+25, combined with Elfreth’s substantial fundraising edge of approximately $1.4 million versus under $35,000 for her opponent, drove the decisive outcome. Limited public polling and a low-profile Republican challenge further reinforced trader consensus around the result. With vote counts showing Elfreth ahead by more than 25 points in early reporting, the market pricing aligns with the certified winner in this solidly Democratic seat.