Incumbent Republican Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland’s 1st congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own contest. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and recent election margins near 60 percent for Harris, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67.5 percent. Redistricting proposals that could have boosted Democratic chances have stalled, leaving the seat’s structural advantages intact. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, these factors sustain the current pricing while primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMD-01 Wahlsieger
MD-01 Wahlsieger
$10,933 Vol.
$10,933 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
68%
Demokratische Partei
22%
$10,933 Vol.
$10,933 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$6,375 Vol.
68%
Demokratische Partei
$4,558 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland’s 1st congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own contest. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and recent election margins near 60 percent for Harris, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67.5 percent. Redistricting proposals that could have boosted Democratic chances have stalled, leaving the seat’s structural advantages intact. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, these factors sustain the current pricing while primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could alter probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,933Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland’s 1st congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own contest. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and recent election margins near 60 percent for Harris, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67.5 percent. Redistricting proposals that could have boosted Democratic chances have stalled, leaving the seat’s structural advantages intact. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, these factors sustain the current pricing while primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could alter probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,933Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland’s 1st congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own contest. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and recent election margins near 60 percent for Harris, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67.5 percent. Redistricting proposals that could have boosted Democratic chances have stalled, leaving the seat’s structural advantages intact. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, these factors sustain the current pricing while primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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