Name: Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?
Start: 2024-06-05T19:11:18.310192Z
End: 2024-09-01T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any major candidate announces they are challenging Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States between June 4, 2024, and the moment the Democratic nominee is announced. A major candidate is defined as any current or former Senator, Governor, House member (congressman), Cabinet member, or former President/First Lady. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve to "No" if Biden officially wins the Democratic Nomination. 

If Biden drops out before he wins the Democratic Nomination this market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 irgendwelche Bitcoin bewegen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Wird MicroStrategy bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 bekannt geben, dass sie über 800.000+ BTC halten?

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Pump.fun (PUMP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT “High” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance PUMP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?

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Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?

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Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?

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Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?

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