Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at 86.5% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 9, driven by consistent polling leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a University of New Hampshire survey last month showing him ahead by double digits and a recent poll confirming his sizable edge among older women voters. Platner's surge stems from his combat veteran background, oyster farmer appeal to working-class Democrats, rapid grassroots fundraising exceeding $1 million early on, and state senator endorsements, offsetting Mills' attacks on his past social media posts and tattoo controversy. Term-limited Mills trails at 14% despite establishment backing, while Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden have declined to run, leaving negligible support for others like Dan Kleban or Troy Jackson. A late Mills surge or Platner scandal could shift odds ahead of the ranked-choice primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGraham Platner 88%
Janet Mills 11%
Chellie Pingree <1%
Jared Golden <1%
$2,086,541 Vol.
$2,086,541 Vol.
Graham Platner
88%
Janet Mills
11%
Dan Kleban
<1%
Chellie Pingree
<1%
Jordan Wood
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Jared Golden
<1%
Graham Platner 88%
Janet Mills 11%
Chellie Pingree <1%
Jared Golden <1%
$2,086,541 Vol.
$2,086,541 Vol.
Graham Platner
88%
Janet Mills
11%
Dan Kleban
<1%
Chellie Pingree
<1%
Jordan Wood
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Jared Golden
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at 86.5% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 9, driven by consistent polling leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a University of New Hampshire survey last month showing him ahead by double digits and a recent poll confirming his sizable edge among older women voters. Platner's surge stems from his combat veteran background, oyster farmer appeal to working-class Democrats, rapid grassroots fundraising exceeding $1 million early on, and state senator endorsements, offsetting Mills' attacks on his past social media posts and tattoo controversy. Term-limited Mills trails at 14% despite establishment backing, while Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden have declined to run, leaving negligible support for others like Dan Kleban or Troy Jackson. A late Mills surge or Platner scandal could shift odds ahead of the ranked-choice primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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