The entrenched Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District, rated solid Democratic by major forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a Senate primary instead created an open seat that drew a crowded field of nine Democratic candidates for the September 1 primary, while only two Republicans filed for their primary. Historical results show Democrats routinely securing margins above 60 points in the North Shore district, and early fundraising data highlights strong Democratic infrastructure with no comparable Republican organization. A Democratic nominee is expected to face minimal general-election opposition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unprecedented national Republican surge or a late primary disruption that damages the eventual Democratic standard-bearer’s standing before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-06 Wahlsieger
MA-06 Wahlsieger
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$6,785 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$7,903 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The entrenched Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District, rated solid Democratic by major forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a Senate primary instead created an open seat that drew a crowded field of nine Democratic candidates for the September 1 primary, while only two Republicans filed for their primary. Historical results show Democrats routinely securing margins above 60 points in the North Shore district, and early fundraising data highlights strong Democratic infrastructure with no comparable Republican organization. A Democratic nominee is expected to face minimal general-election opposition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unprecedented national Republican surge or a late primary disruption that damages the eventual Democratic standard-bearer’s standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,688Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The entrenched Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District, rated solid Democratic by major forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a Senate primary instead created an open seat that drew a crowded field of nine Democratic candidates for the September 1 primary, while only two Republicans filed for their primary. Historical results show Democrats routinely securing margins above 60 points in the North Shore district, and early fundraising data highlights strong Democratic infrastructure with no comparable Republican organization. A Democratic nominee is expected to face minimal general-election opposition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unprecedented national Republican surge or a late primary disruption that damages the eventual Democratic standard-bearer’s standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,688Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The entrenched Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District, rated solid Democratic by major forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a Senate primary instead created an open seat that drew a crowded field of nine Democratic candidates for the September 1 primary, while only two Republicans filed for their primary. Historical results show Democrats routinely securing margins above 60 points in the North Shore district, and early fundraising data highlights strong Democratic infrastructure with no comparable Republican organization. A Democratic nominee is expected to face minimal general-election opposition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to an unprecedented national Republican surge or a late primary disruption that damages the eventual Democratic standard-bearer’s standing before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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