In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, official results concluded March 26 by the Tribunal Electoral Departamental confirm Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria Sol alliance at 20.0% and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica at 9.2%, advancing both to an April 19 runoff as no candidate reached the 50%+1 threshold. Trader consensus prices Revilla as the frontrunner at 51% implied probability, reflecting his stronger first-round performance, name recognition from prior La Paz mayoral service, and ties to President Rodrigo Paz's successful national alliances, enabling potential vote consolidation from undecideds and eliminated rivals like Fidel Chura. Yahuasi's 36% underscores competitive outsider momentum but hurdles in overtaking amid fragmented field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlsieger Gouverneur von La Paz (Bolivien)
Wahlsieger Gouverneur von La Paz (Bolivien)
René Yahuasi Calamani 36.4%
Luis Antonio Revilla 32.9%
Fidel Chura 10.4%
Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%
$11,964 Vol.
$11,964 Vol.
René Yahuasi Calamani
36%
Luis Antonio Revilla
51%
Fidel Chura
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
9%
Santos Quispe Quispe
9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Felix Patzi
3%
Germán Riveros
3%
Rafael Quispe Flores
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
9%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
René Yahuasi Calamani 36.4%
Luis Antonio Revilla 32.9%
Fidel Chura 10.4%
Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%
$11,964 Vol.
$11,964 Vol.
René Yahuasi Calamani
36%
Luis Antonio Revilla
51%
Fidel Chura
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
9%
Santos Quispe Quispe
9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Felix Patzi
3%
Germán Riveros
3%
Rafael Quispe Flores
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
9%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, official results concluded March 26 by the Tribunal Electoral Departamental confirm Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria Sol alliance at 20.0% and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica at 9.2%, advancing both to an April 19 runoff as no candidate reached the 50%+1 threshold. Trader consensus prices Revilla as the frontrunner at 51% implied probability, reflecting his stronger first-round performance, name recognition from prior La Paz mayoral service, and ties to President Rodrigo Paz's successful national alliances, enabling potential vote consolidation from undecideds and eliminated rivals like Fidel Chura. Yahuasi's 36% underscores competitive outsider momentum but hurdles in overtaking amid fragmented field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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