Trader consensus favors Republicans at 64.5% to win the open Kansas gubernatorial race in 2026, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean (R+13 partisan voting index) and GOP supermajorities in the state legislature, where Democrats hold no statewide offices. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly is term-limited after two terms, creating an open seat that tilts toward the GOP base in this reliably red state. Early generic ballot polling from summer 2024, such as Remington Research's 52-38 Republican edge, underpins the pricing amid sparse candidate announcements—potential GOP contenders include Attorney General Kris Kobach and Lt. Gov. David Toland, while Democrats eye figures like state Sen. Cindy Holscher. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, with primaries set for August 2026 and the general election in November. National midterm dynamics and 2024 federal results could influence turnout in battleground rural and suburban districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Republikaner
65%

Demokrat
30%

Republikaner
65%

Demokrat
30%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 64.5% to win the open Kansas gubernatorial race in 2026, reflecting the state's strong Republican lean (R+13 partisan voting index) and GOP supermajorities in the state legislature, where Democrats hold no statewide offices. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly is term-limited after two terms, creating an open seat that tilts toward the GOP base in this reliably red state. Early generic ballot polling from summer 2024, such as Remington Research's 52-38 Republican edge, underpins the pricing amid sparse candidate announcements—potential GOP contenders include Attorney General Kris Kobach and Lt. Gov. David Toland, while Democrats eye figures like state Sen. Cindy Holscher. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment, with primaries set for August 2026 and the general election in November. National midterm dynamics and 2024 federal results could influence turnout in battleground rural and suburban districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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