Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his high name recognition from prior statewide service, victory in the Kansas GOP Winter Convention straw poll in early February, and endorsements from figures like former HUD Secretary Ben Carson and U.S. Rep. Tracey Mann. Financial services executive Philip Sarnecki at 21.5% and Senate President Ty Masterson at 19.5% draw support from self-funding exceeding $1 million each and informal polls mirroring these standings, while Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt holds 13.3% amid a crowded field of nine candidates. The January debate highlighted unity on taxes and education but no major shifts; upcoming June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary loom as key catalysts in this open-seat race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJeff Colyer 39%
Philip Sarnecki 19.2%
Ty Masterson 18%
Vicki Schmidt 9.3%
$32,009 Vol.
$32,009 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
39%
Philip Sarnecki
19%
Ty Masterson
18%
Vicki Schmidt
9%
Charlotte O’Hara
6%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
3%
Scott Schwab
7%
Jeff Colyer 39%
Philip Sarnecki 19.2%
Ty Masterson 18%
Vicki Schmidt 9.3%
$32,009 Vol.
$32,009 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
39%
Philip Sarnecki
19%
Ty Masterson
18%
Vicki Schmidt
9%
Charlotte O’Hara
6%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
3%
Scott Schwab
7%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his high name recognition from prior statewide service, victory in the Kansas GOP Winter Convention straw poll in early February, and endorsements from figures like former HUD Secretary Ben Carson and U.S. Rep. Tracey Mann. Financial services executive Philip Sarnecki at 21.5% and Senate President Ty Masterson at 19.5% draw support from self-funding exceeding $1 million each and informal polls mirroring these standings, while Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt holds 13.3% amid a crowded field of nine candidates. The January debate highlighted unity on taxes and education but no major shifts; upcoming June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary loom as key catalysts in this open-seat race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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