Sharice Davids leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic Senate primary win, driven by her incumbency as U.S. Representative for KS-3, superior fundraising exceeding $1 million, and consistent polling averages showing a double-digit lead among likely primary voters. Christy Davis holds second at 26% after a strong debate performance last week highlighting her state legislative experience, while Patrick Schmidt's 19% reflects recent party endorsements from local leaders. Lower-tier candidates like Michael Soetaert trail due to limited visibility. With the August primary approaching, upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this open field lacking a clear incumbent senator.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSharice Davids 46%
Christy Davis 11%
Michael Soetaert 5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.7%
$48,954 Vol.
$48,954 Vol.
Sharice Davids
51%
Christy Davis
20%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
21%
Sharice Davids 46%
Christy Davis 11%
Michael Soetaert 5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.7%
$48,954 Vol.
$48,954 Vol.
Sharice Davids
51%
Christy Davis
20%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
21%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sharice Davids leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic Senate primary win, driven by her incumbency as U.S. Representative for KS-3, superior fundraising exceeding $1 million, and consistent polling averages showing a double-digit lead among likely primary voters. Christy Davis holds second at 26% after a strong debate performance last week highlighting her state legislative experience, while Patrick Schmidt's 19% reflects recent party endorsements from local leaders. Lower-tier candidates like Michael Soetaert trail due to limited visibility. With the August primary approaching, upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this open field lacking a clear incumbent senator.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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