Trader consensus favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 55% implied probability to win Kansas' Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, 2026, driven by her incumbency in the 3rd Congressional District, repeated victories in a Republican-leaning state, superior fundraising from prior cycles, and recent statewide tours beyond her district that signal a likely entry despite no formal announcement. Christy Davis holds second at 23.5% on her early campaign launch in October 2025, rural credentials as former USDA Rural Development director, and appeals to working families at the Kansas Democratic Party convention on March 8. The crowded field of seven candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, business executive Sandy Spidel Neumann, and others, fragments support amid sparse polling, with recent additions like prosecutor Jason Hart underscoring intra-party competition to challenge Sen. Roger Marshall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSharice Davids 55%
Christy Davis 21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.2%
Michael Soetaert 5.4%
$31,847 Vol.
$31,847 Vol.
Sharice Davids
55%
Christy Davis
21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
9%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
Sharice Davids 55%
Christy Davis 21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.2%
Michael Soetaert 5.4%
$31,847 Vol.
$31,847 Vol.
Sharice Davids
55%
Christy Davis
21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
9%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 55% implied probability to win Kansas' Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, 2026, driven by her incumbency in the 3rd Congressional District, repeated victories in a Republican-leaning state, superior fundraising from prior cycles, and recent statewide tours beyond her district that signal a likely entry despite no formal announcement. Christy Davis holds second at 23.5% on her early campaign launch in October 2025, rural credentials as former USDA Rural Development director, and appeals to working families at the Kansas Democratic Party convention on March 8. The crowded field of seven candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, business executive Sandy Spidel Neumann, and others, fragments support amid sparse polling, with recent additions like prosecutor Jason Hart underscoring intra-party competition to challenge Sen. Roger Marshall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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