Trader consensus prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30% implied probability, reflecting stalled momentum in President Trump's executive order-launched immigration program requiring a $1 million contribution for expedited green card eligibility via USCIS Form I-140G. Recent federal lawsuits filed in early February challenging the program's legality, coupled with March reports of 70,000 waitlist expressions but no verified issuances amid low uptake from wealthy foreigners, have fueled skepticism despite 2025 pre-launch claims of $1.3 billion in sales. Low-volume bins like 1-100 at 19% differentiate on potential limited processing if courts allow; consolidation toward zero hinges on adverse rulings, while favorable decisions or streamlined adjudication could boost mid-range outcomes like 101-1k before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
Wie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
25.000-100.000 9.4%
101-1k 9.3%
$118,544 Vol.
$118,544 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
19%
101-1k
9%
1.000–2.500
8%
2,5k–5k
8%
5.000–10.000
7%
10.000–25.000
7%
25.000-100.000
9%
>100k
5%
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
25.000-100.000 9.4%
101-1k 9.3%
$118,544 Vol.
$118,544 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,853 Vol.
30%
1-100
$9,449 Vol.
19%
101-1k
$4,777 Vol.
9%
1.000–2.500
$7,225 Vol.
8%
2,5k–5k
$4,216 Vol.
8%
5.000–10.000
$4,525 Vol.
7%
10.000–25.000
$51,594 Vol.
7%
25.000-100.000
$4,096 Vol.
9%
>100k
$8,807 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30% implied probability, reflecting stalled momentum in President Trump's executive order-launched immigration program requiring a $1 million contribution for expedited green card eligibility via USCIS Form I-140G. Recent federal lawsuits filed in early February challenging the program's legality, coupled with March reports of 70,000 waitlist expressions but no verified issuances amid low uptake from wealthy foreigners, have fueled skepticism despite 2025 pre-launch claims of $1.3 billion in sales. Low-volume bins like 1-100 at 19% differentiate on potential limited processing if courts allow; consolidation toward zero hinges on adverse rulings, while favorable decisions or streamlined adjudication could boost mid-range outcomes like 101-1k before year-end.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volumen
$118,544Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30% implied probability, reflecting stalled momentum in President Trump's executive order-launched immigration program requiring a $1 million contribution for expedited green card eligibility via USCIS Form I-140G. Recent federal lawsuits filed in early February challenging the program's legality, coupled with March reports of 70,000 waitlist expressions but no verified issuances amid low uptake from wealthy foreigners, have fueled skepticism despite 2025 pre-launch claims of $1.3 billion in sales. Low-volume bins like 1-100 at 19% differentiate on potential limited processing if courts allow; consolidation toward zero hinges on adverse rulings, while favorable decisions or streamlined adjudication could boost mid-range outcomes like 101-1k before year-end.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$118,544Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30% implied probability, reflecting stalled momentum in President Trump's executive order-launched immigration program requiring a $1 million contribution for expedited green card eligibility via USCIS Form I-140G. Recent federal lawsuits filed in early February challenging the program's legality, coupled with March reports of 70,000 waitlist expressions but no verified issuances amid low uptake from wealthy foreigners, have fueled skepticism despite 2025 pre-launch claims of $1.3 billion in sales. Low-volume bins like 1-100 at 19% differentiate on potential limited processing if courts allow; consolidation toward zero hinges on adverse rulings, while favorable decisions or streamlined adjudication could boost mid-range outcomes like 101-1k before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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