Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 29.5%, reflecting stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified issuances or revenue updates from USCIS despite 70,000 expressions of interest. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges its legality for bypassing Congress and displacing EB-1/EB-2 merit-based visas, creating uncertainty as the government's response looms. The $1 million price exceeds EB-5 investor visas, deterring uptake amid processing delays and reversal risks by future administrations. Low bins like 1-100 (19.4%) assume limited approvals post-litigation, while higher outcomes hinge on court dismissal and sustained wealthy investor demand; rulings could consolidate odds sharply.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
Wie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
101-1k 10.1%
25.000-100.000 9.3%
$118,976 Vol.
$118,976 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
19%
101-1k
10%
1.000–2.500
8%
2,5k–5k
8%
5.000–10.000
7%
10.000–25.000
7%
25.000-100.000
9%
>100k
5%
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
101-1k 10.1%
25.000-100.000 9.3%
$118,976 Vol.
$118,976 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,864 Vol.
30%
1-100
$9,870 Vol.
19%
101-1k
$4,777 Vol.
10%
1.000–2.500
$7,225 Vol.
8%
2,5k–5k
$4,216 Vol.
8%
5.000–10.000
$4,525 Vol.
7%
10.000–25.000
$51,594 Vol.
7%
25.000-100.000
$4,096 Vol.
9%
>100k
$8,807 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 29.5%, reflecting stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified issuances or revenue updates from USCIS despite 70,000 expressions of interest. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges its legality for bypassing Congress and displacing EB-1/EB-2 merit-based visas, creating uncertainty as the government's response looms. The $1 million price exceeds EB-5 investor visas, deterring uptake amid processing delays and reversal risks by future administrations. Low bins like 1-100 (19.4%) assume limited approvals post-litigation, while higher outcomes hinge on court dismissal and sustained wealthy investor demand; rulings could consolidate odds sharply.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volumen
$118,976Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 29.5%, reflecting stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified issuances or revenue updates from USCIS despite 70,000 expressions of interest. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges its legality for bypassing Congress and displacing EB-1/EB-2 merit-based visas, creating uncertainty as the government's response looms. The $1 million price exceeds EB-5 investor visas, deterring uptake amid processing delays and reversal risks by future administrations. Low bins like 1-100 (19.4%) assume limited approvals post-litigation, while higher outcomes hinge on court dismissal and sustained wealthy investor demand; rulings could consolidate odds sharply.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$118,976Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 29.5%, reflecting stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified issuances or revenue updates from USCIS despite 70,000 expressions of interest. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges its legality for bypassing Congress and displacing EB-1/EB-2 merit-based visas, creating uncertainty as the government's response looms. The $1 million price exceeds EB-5 investor visas, deterring uptake amid processing delays and reversal risks by future administrations. Low bins like 1-100 (19.4%) assume limited approvals post-litigation, while higher outcomes hinge on court dismissal and sustained wealthy investor demand; rulings could consolidate odds sharply.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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