Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between two dissents (42%) and one (34.5%) at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy fractures exposed in March's minutes where only Governor Miran dissented against the steady 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate amid simultaneous inflation risks from Middle East tensions and oil shocks, alongside February's unexpected 92,000 job loss signaling labor market softening. Hawkish voices like Waller and Bowman eyed hikes, while doves push cuts per the Fed's single 2026 rate reduction in the dot plot. Key swing factors include March CPI due April 10 and nonfarm payrolls this week, which could amplify or quell divisions before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2 32%
1 30%
3 15%
0 6%
$10,562 Vol.
$10,562 Vol.
0
6%
1
35%
2
42%
3
15%
4+
2%
2 32%
1 30%
3 15%
0 6%
$10,562 Vol.
$10,562 Vol.
0
6%
1
35%
2
42%
3
15%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between two dissents (42%) and one (34.5%) at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy fractures exposed in March's minutes where only Governor Miran dissented against the steady 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate amid simultaneous inflation risks from Middle East tensions and oil shocks, alongside February's unexpected 92,000 job loss signaling labor market softening. Hawkish voices like Waller and Bowman eyed hikes, while doves push cuts per the Fed's single 2026 rate reduction in the dot plot. Key swing factors include March CPI due April 10 and nonfarm payrolls this week, which could amplify or quell divisions before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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