MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on March 29 amid persistent cloudy skies, areas of drizzle clearing briefly before afternoon rain and strengthening northerlies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 19°C (44.5%) over 20°C (41.5%), as extensive cloud cover limits solar heating despite mild northerly air advection. The razor-thin split reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models showing minor spread—potential afternoon fine breaks or delayed precipitation could nudge peaks to 20°C, consistent with yesterday's 21.4°C observed high. Traders await evening updates and real-time observations, as March climatology averages 19°C maxima in similar setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
19°C 46%
20°C 42%
21°C 15%
22°C 6.6%
$204,938 Vol.
$204,938 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
46%
20°C
42%
21°C
15%
22°C
7%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 46%
20°C 42%
21°C 15%
22°C 6.6%
$204,938 Vol.
$204,938 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
46%
20°C
42%
21°C
15%
22°C
7%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on March 29 amid persistent cloudy skies, areas of drizzle clearing briefly before afternoon rain and strengthening northerlies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 19°C (44.5%) over 20°C (41.5%), as extensive cloud cover limits solar heating despite mild northerly air advection. The razor-thin split reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models showing minor spread—potential afternoon fine breaks or delayed precipitation could nudge peaks to 20°C, consistent with yesterday's 21.4°C observed high. Traders await evening updates and real-time observations, as March climatology averages 19°C maxima in similar setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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