Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei-area highs of 20–29°C on March 30 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, fueling trader consensus around 25–28°C outcomes at Taoyuan International Airport's NOAA station—the market's resolution source. A recent cold frontal passage introduced cooler maritime air mass, limiting March 29 highs to 23–25°C after earlier dips near 19°C, but subsiding northeasterlies and emerging high-pressure ridge now enable greater daytime heating via solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing peak temperatures, light east-to-southwest winds (2–4 m/s), and urban heat island effects versus the airport's open locale; model ensembles show divergence on exact cloud timing. Hourly CWA observations through afternoon will likely resolve uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?
27°C 29%
25°C or below 25%
28°C 15%
26°C 13%
$13,300 Vol.
$13,300 Vol.
25°C or below
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
35%
28°C
15%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 29%
25°C or below 25%
28°C 15%
26°C 13%
$13,300 Vol.
$13,300 Vol.
25°C or below
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
35%
28°C
15%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei-area highs of 20–29°C on March 30 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, fueling trader consensus around 25–28°C outcomes at Taoyuan International Airport's NOAA station—the market's resolution source. A recent cold frontal passage introduced cooler maritime air mass, limiting March 29 highs to 23–25°C after earlier dips near 19°C, but subsiding northeasterlies and emerging high-pressure ridge now enable greater daytime heating via solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing peak temperatures, light east-to-southwest winds (2–4 m/s), and urban heat island effects versus the airport's open locale; model ensembles show divergence on exact cloud timing. Hourly CWA observations through afternoon will likely resolve uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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