Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 will likely peak at 20-22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from a lingering frontal system, cooling the city after late March highs near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21°C at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C and 20°C, reflecting model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that diverge on cloud cover extent and potential afternoon clearing for limited diurnal heating. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current moisture suppresses peaks; key differentiators include wind patterns and precipitation timing. Watch CWA's daily updates resolving uncertainty before measurement at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
18%
23°C
26%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
18%
23°C
26%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 will likely peak at 20-22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from a lingering frontal system, cooling the city after late March highs near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21°C at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C and 20°C, reflecting model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that diverge on cloud cover extent and potential afternoon clearing for limited diurnal heating. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current moisture suppresses peaks; key differentiators include wind patterns and precipitation timing. Watch CWA's daily updates resolving uncertainty before measurement at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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