Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 2 between 17-25°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, fueling the closely matched trader consensus favoring 22-27°C outcomes at 17-22% implied probabilities each. This spread captures uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergent cloud cover projections and frontal timing could suppress highs via showers or allow solar heating to push toward 26-27°C under clearer conditions. Early April climatology shows average highs near 24°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation, consistent with recent March warmth (21-29°C) transitioning to variable spring patterns; watch CWB's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
26°C 23%
25°C 23%
27°C 21%
24°C 19%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
14%
26°C 23%
25°C 23%
27°C 21%
24°C 19%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 2 between 17-25°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, fueling the closely matched trader consensus favoring 22-27°C outcomes at 17-22% implied probabilities each. This spread captures uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergent cloud cover projections and frontal timing could suppress highs via showers or allow solar heating to push toward 26-27°C under clearer conditions. Early April climatology shows average highs near 24°C with a 3-4°C standard deviation, consistent with recent March warmth (21-29°C) transitioning to variable spring patterns; watch CWB's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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