Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 27°C (82.5% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature today, anchored by official observational data from Bao'an International Airport showing morning lows near 23°C rising to 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with yesterday's 27°C peak amid a warmer-than-average late March trend. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a potential 29°C high with scattered showers, but forecast model ensembles like those from timeanddate.com project peaks up to 88°F (31°C) that traders discount due to cloud cover limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds capping convective heating in this subtropical climate. Afternoon station readings will clarify amid inherent short-term uncertainty, with climatological March highs averaging 24°C providing baseline context.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
27°C 94%
28°C 7%
29°C 1.0%
31°C or higher 1.0%
$110,153 Vol.
$110,153 Vol.
25°C
<1%
27°C
94%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 94%
28°C 7%
29°C 1.0%
31°C or higher 1.0%
$110,153 Vol.
$110,153 Vol.
25°C
<1%
27°C
94%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 27°C (82.5% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature today, anchored by official observational data from Bao'an International Airport showing morning lows near 23°C rising to 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with yesterday's 27°C peak amid a warmer-than-average late March trend. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a potential 29°C high with scattered showers, but forecast model ensembles like those from timeanddate.com project peaks up to 88°F (31°C) that traders discount due to cloud cover limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds capping convective heating in this subtropical climate. Afternoon station readings will clarify amid inherent short-term uncertainty, with climatological March highs averaging 24°C providing baseline context.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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