Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, echoed by ensemble models, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1 around 27–28°C amid light rain and overcast skies (90%+ cloud cover), down from late March highs near 30°C due to incoming moist southerly flows and a weak frontal system. Trader consensus reflects this tight model spread, with implied probabilities clustered at 24–29°C, as sea breezes and 70% precipitation odds per AccuWeather could suppress peaks via reduced solar heating—persistent early clouds favoring 25–26°C, while brief clearing might push toward 28°C. Historical early April averages hover at 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid subtropical climate; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS runs and March 30–31 observations for refinements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
26°C 38%
28°C 34%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 38%
28°C 34%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, echoed by ensemble models, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1 around 27–28°C amid light rain and overcast skies (90%+ cloud cover), down from late March highs near 30°C due to incoming moist southerly flows and a weak frontal system. Trader consensus reflects this tight model spread, with implied probabilities clustered at 24–29°C, as sea breezes and 70% precipitation odds per AccuWeather could suppress peaks via reduced solar heating—persistent early clouds favoring 25–26°C, while brief clearing might push toward 28°C. Historical early April averages hover at 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid subtropical climate; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS runs and March 30–31 observations for refinements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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