Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on March 29 between 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward 23°C at 38% implied probability, closely aligned with late-March climatological averages of 22–24°C. Recent cooler conditions, including March 27 highs of only 18–20°C amid a potent cold front and northeast monsoon influence, have shifted with the monsoon's weakening, enabling a modest warm-up while persistent cloud cover caps extremes. Forecast model ensembles show low confidence in exceeding 25°C due to unstable low-level moisture and east-northeasterly winds; CWA hourly updates through Sunday could refine peak timing around midday, with resolution based on official station observations at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
23°C 38%
24°C 21%
22°C or below 18.7%
26°C 11%
$182,229 Vol.
$182,229 Vol.
22°C or below
19%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
24°C 21%
22°C or below 18.7%
26°C 11%
$182,229 Vol.
$182,229 Vol.
22°C or below
19%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on March 29 between 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward 23°C at 38% implied probability, closely aligned with late-March climatological averages of 22–24°C. Recent cooler conditions, including March 27 highs of only 18–20°C amid a potent cold front and northeast monsoon influence, have shifted with the monsoon's weakening, enabling a modest warm-up while persistent cloud cover caps extremes. Forecast model ensembles show low confidence in exceeding 25°C due to unstable low-level moisture and east-northeasterly winds; CWA hourly updates through Sunday could refine peak timing around midday, with resolution based on official station observations at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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