Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast drives near-unanimous trader consensus on a 22°C high in Taipei today, projecting 20-22°C under persistent cloudy skies with occasional showers and thunderstorms from a recent cold air mass—evidenced by rare April snow on Yushan peak this morning. Current observations show morning temperatures around 19°C with overcast conditions limiting solar heating and boundary layer mixing, aligning with model consensus for subdued daytime warming typical of frontal passages in early spring. Historical April 1 highs average 24°C but vary widely; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23-24°C before evening cooldown, though CWA updates expected this afternoon reinforce the locked-in outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
23°C <1%
$132,254 Vol.
$132,254 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
23°C <1%
$132,254 Vol.
$132,254 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast drives near-unanimous trader consensus on a 22°C high in Taipei today, projecting 20-22°C under persistent cloudy skies with occasional showers and thunderstorms from a recent cold air mass—evidenced by rare April snow on Yushan peak this morning. Current observations show morning temperatures around 19°C with overcast conditions limiting solar heating and boundary layer mixing, aligning with model consensus for subdued daytime warming typical of frontal passages in early spring. Historical April 1 highs average 24°C but vary widely; realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes to 23-24°C before evening cooldown, though CWA updates expected this afternoon reinforce the locked-in outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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