Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 22–24°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting latest forecast model outputs like Weather Underground projecting a 23°C high amid persistent uncertainty from cloud cover and isolated showers. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for early April indicates mild conditions with partly cloudy skies and afternoon convection following March's heat dome, which pushed anomalies 17–22°C above normal but has dissipated under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates peaks, while current soil moisture and weak southerly flow favor subdued diurnal heating; clearer skies could nudge toward 25°C, but model spreads highlight 1–2°C variability ahead of daily SMN updates resolving by April 4.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
23°C 18%
26°C 14%
21°C or below
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
14%
27°C
13%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
23°C 18%
26°C 14%
21°C or below
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
14%
27°C
13%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 22–24°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting latest forecast model outputs like Weather Underground projecting a 23°C high amid persistent uncertainty from cloud cover and isolated showers. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for early April indicates mild conditions with partly cloudy skies and afternoon convection following March's heat dome, which pushed anomalies 17–22°C above normal but has dissipated under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates peaks, while current soil moisture and weak southerly flow favor subdued diurnal heating; clearer skies could nudge toward 25°C, but model spreads highlight 1–2°C variability ahead of daily SMN updates resolving by April 4.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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