Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Houston's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F edging out 76°F or higher and 68-69°F amid divergent National Weather Service guidance and model outputs. After a warm early April pattern featuring highs in the low 80s on April 1-2 under persistent southerly flow, an approaching cold front is poised to stall nearby over the weekend, introducing scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress daytime heating. NWS forecasts highlight lingering precipitation on Sunday, aligning with historical spring frontal variability where early April normals hover near 78°F at Houston's Intercontinental Airport but often dip 5-10°F during active weather. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs underscore timing risks for the boundary, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 21%
76°F or higher 20%
68-69°F 19%
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
26%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 21%
76°F or higher 20%
68-69°F 19%
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Houston's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F edging out 76°F or higher and 68-69°F amid divergent National Weather Service guidance and model outputs. After a warm early April pattern featuring highs in the low 80s on April 1-2 under persistent southerly flow, an approaching cold front is poised to stall nearby over the weekend, introducing scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress daytime heating. NWS forecasts highlight lingering precipitation on Sunday, aligning with historical spring frontal variability where early April normals hover near 78°F at Houston's Intercontinental Airport but often dip 5-10°F during active weather. Ensemble model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs underscore timing risks for the boundary, with daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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