The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 1 under an easterly airstream fostering brighter conditions with sunny intervals, offset by mainly cloudy skies and one or two showers. This aligns with trader consensus, where 27°C leads at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (32.5%) and 26°C (24%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could suppress or boost peaks by 1–2°C. Above-normal for early April (climatological highs ~24–25°C), the outlook hinges on trough weakening; next forecast update at 11:30 HKT April 1 may refine model consensus amid no active warnings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
27°C 37%
28°C 33%
26°C 24%
25°C 7.5%
$31,528 Vol.
$31,528 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
28°C 33%
26°C 24%
25°C 7.5%
$31,528 Vol.
$31,528 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 1 under an easterly airstream fostering brighter conditions with sunny intervals, offset by mainly cloudy skies and one or two showers. This aligns with trader consensus, where 27°C leads at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (32.5%) and 26°C (24%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could suppress or boost peaks by 1–2°C. Above-normal for early April (climatological highs ~24–25°C), the outlook hinges on trough weakening; next forecast update at 11:30 HKT April 1 may refine model consensus amid no active warnings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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