Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 50-51°F (26%) and 52-53°F (22.5%) for Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting low-to-mid 50s amid post-frontal cooling following recent showers and thunderstorms. April 1's anomalous 39°F high—15°F below normal—gave way to today's 60s°F warmup, but a lingering Flood Watch through April 5 signals cloudy, unsettled conditions from an approaching low-pressure system that could cap peaks via persistent overcast and possible light precipitation. Normal April 5 highs average 54.8°F, yet model spread highlights uncertainty in clearing timing and boundary layer mixing; watch tomorrow's 00z/12z runs for shifts differentiating 48-49°F cooler biases from 54°F+ potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 21%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 14%
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
11%
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 21%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 14%
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 50-51°F (26%) and 52-53°F (22.5%) for Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting low-to-mid 50s amid post-frontal cooling following recent showers and thunderstorms. April 1's anomalous 39°F high—15°F below normal—gave way to today's 60s°F warmup, but a lingering Flood Watch through April 5 signals cloudy, unsettled conditions from an approaching low-pressure system that could cap peaks via persistent overcast and possible light precipitation. Normal April 5 highs average 54.8°F, yet model spread highlights uncertainty in clearing timing and boundary layer mixing; watch tomorrow's 00z/12z runs for shifts differentiating 48-49°F cooler biases from 54°F+ potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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