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Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

10°C 30%

8°C 22%

9°C 21%

7°C 18%

Polymarket
NEU

10°C 30%

8°C 22%

9°C 21%

7°C 18%

Polymarket
NEU

5°C or below

$10 Vol.

13%

6°C

$5 Vol.

14%

7°C

$38 Vol.

18%

8°C

$15 Vol.

22%

9°C

$27 Vol.

21%

10°C

$22 Vol.

18%

11°C

$15 Vol.

20%

12°C

$5 Vol.

15%

13°C

$5 Vol.

16%

14°C

$46 Vol.

6%

15°C or higher

$116 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–9°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 6, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 8–10°C amid a Rosgidromet-observed cooling trend after late-March record highs exceeding 17°C. Upper-air 500 hPa analyses show a deepening trough ushering cooler continental air from the north, suppressing intensification potential while limiting precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from slight model divergences on cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with urban heat island effects and solar insolation potentially tipping outcomes between 7–10°C; historical early-April norms hover near 7°C, but recent warmth adds upside variance. Watch Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates and new model runs through April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$304
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 8–9°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 6, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 8–10°C amid a Rosgidromet-observed cooling trend after late-March record highs exceeding 17°C. Upper-air 500 hPa analyses show a deepening trough ushering cooler continental air from the north, suppressing intensification potential while limiting precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from slight model divergences on cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with urban heat island effects and solar insolation potentially tipping outcomes between 7–10°C; historical early-April norms hover near 7°C, but recent warmth adds upside variance. Watch Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates and new model runs through April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$304
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „8°C" mit 22%, gefolgt von „9°C" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?" ist „8°C" mit 22%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „9°C" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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