The National Weather Service's latest Point Forecast Matrix, issued March 29, projects a high of 81°F in Dallas on April 2 under partly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, aligning trader sentiment toward the 80-84°F cluster where 84°F or higher leads at 34.5% implied probability. This reflects recent warm late-March highs near 82°F and an above-normal April temperature outlook from seasonal models, tempered by an active pattern bringing storms through Easter weekend that could introduce cloud cover or precipitation to suppress peaks into the upper 70s (17-23.5% across 74-81°F bins). Key variables include realization of forecast precipitation probability and upper-level ridge strength; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread from mid-70s to low 80s. Watch daily NWS updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Dallas observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on April 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 2?
84°F or higher 37%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
21%
84°F or higher
37%
84°F or higher 37%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
21%
84°F or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest Point Forecast Matrix, issued March 29, projects a high of 81°F in Dallas on April 2 under partly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, aligning trader sentiment toward the 80-84°F cluster where 84°F or higher leads at 34.5% implied probability. This reflects recent warm late-March highs near 82°F and an above-normal April temperature outlook from seasonal models, tempered by an active pattern bringing storms through Easter weekend that could introduce cloud cover or precipitation to suppress peaks into the upper 70s (17-23.5% across 74-81°F bins). Key variables include realization of forecast precipitation probability and upper-level ridge strength; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread from mid-70s to low 80s. Watch daily NWS updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Dallas observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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