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Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?

Apr. 1

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 1

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

70-71°F 23%

68-69°F 22%

58-59°F 19%

72-73°F 18%

Polymarket
NEU

70-71°F 23%

68-69°F 22%

58-59°F 19%

72-73°F 18%

Polymarket
NEU

55°F or below

$164 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$145 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$145 Vol.

19%

60-61°F

$0 Vol.

16%

62-63°F

$0 Vol.

16%

64-65°F

$0 Vol.

17%

66-67°F

$0 Vol.

16%

68-69°F

$0 Vol.

22%

70-71°F

$0 Vol.

23%

72-73°F

$9 Vol.

18%

74°F or higher

$5 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with NOAA GFS and ensemble guidance diverging on the timing and strength of a potential cold front approaching Central Texas amid an active early spring pattern. Outcomes like 55°F or below (25%) and 74°F or higher (25%) capture tail risks from a stalled frontal boundary bringing clouds, precipitation, and cooler highs in the low 60s, versus a faster-moving system allowing sunny skies and near-average highs around 78°F per historical April 5 norms at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Mid-range bins (66-67°F at 18%, 60-61°F at 17%) dominate due to model spread, with climatological volatility amplified by variable jet stream positioning. Key differentiators include frontal stall potential and cloud cover impacts; watch daily National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio updates and new GFS/European model runs through April 3-4 for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$467
Enddatum
5. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with NOAA GFS and ensemble guidance diverging on the timing and strength of a potential cold front approaching Central Texas amid an active early spring pattern. Outcomes like 55°F or below (25%) and 74°F or higher (25%) capture tail risks from a stalled frontal boundary bringing clouds, precipitation, and cooler highs in the low 60s, versus a faster-moving system allowing sunny skies and near-average highs around 78°F per historical April 5 norms at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Mid-range bins (66-67°F at 18%, 60-61°F at 17%) dominate due to model spread, with climatological volatility amplified by variable jet stream positioning. Key differentiators include frontal stall potential and cloud cover impacts; watch daily National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio updates and new GFS/European model runs through April 3-4 for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$467
Enddatum
5. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „70-71°F" mit 23%, gefolgt von „68-69°F" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 23¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?" ist „70-71°F" mit 23%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „68-69°F" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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