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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

27°C 24%

28°C 19%

26°C 15%

29°C 14%

Polymarket
NEU

27°C 24%

28°C 19%

26°C 15%

29°C 14%

Polymarket
NEU

20°C or below

$428 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$535 Vol.

2%

22°C

$60 Vol.

3%

23°C

$72 Vol.

8%

24°C

$45 Vol.

12%

25°C

$45 Vol.

11%

26°C

$45 Vol.

15%

27°C

$60 Vol.

24%

28°C

$45 Vol.

19%

29°C

$125 Vol.

14%

30°C or higher

$212 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5, with implied odds favoring 27°C (24%) slightly over 28°C (22%) due to ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing peak daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations through early April 2026 indicate above-average spring warmth, with highs climbing from 22°C on April 1 amid reduced cloud cover and southerly winds advecting mild moist air, differentiating outcomes—greater solar insolation and low-level subsidence could push toward 28–29°C, while stray showers or increased humidity might cap at 26°C. Updated model runs expected April 3–4 will refine land surface and boundary layer forecasts critical for this urban heat island-amplified locale.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,672
Enddatum
5. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5, with implied odds favoring 27°C (24%) slightly over 28°C (22%) due to ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing peak daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations through early April 2026 indicate above-average spring warmth, with highs climbing from 22°C on April 1 amid reduced cloud cover and southerly winds advecting mild moist air, differentiating outcomes—greater solar insolation and low-level subsidence could push toward 28–29°C, while stray showers or increased humidity might cap at 26°C. Updated model runs expected April 3–4 will refine land surface and boundary layer forecasts critical for this urban heat island-amplified locale.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,672
Enddatum
5. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „27°C" mit 24%, gefolgt von „28°C" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?" ist „27°C" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „28°C" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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