Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Denver's April 1 high near 57-59°F amid a pattern shift from March's record warmth—peaking at 87°F on March 25—to cooler mid-level air and Pacific moisture introducing clouds and shower chances. This caps temperatures below the 60°F climatological normal, with 56-59°F bins leading at 29% each due to persistent overcast suppressing daytime heating, though brief clearing or downslope winds could push toward 60-61°F. Key differentiators include frontal timing and precipitation coverage; 00Z model runs and Tuesday's NWS forecast discussion will clarify as resolution nears. Historical April 1 variability underscores inherent forecast spread two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on April 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 1?
58-59°F 35%
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 22%
60-61°F 20%
45°F oder darunter
2%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
19%
64°F or higher
8%
58-59°F 35%
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 22%
60-61°F 20%
45°F oder darunter
2%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
19%
64°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Denver's April 1 high near 57-59°F amid a pattern shift from March's record warmth—peaking at 87°F on March 25—to cooler mid-level air and Pacific moisture introducing clouds and shower chances. This caps temperatures below the 60°F climatological normal, with 56-59°F bins leading at 29% each due to persistent overcast suppressing daytime heating, though brief clearing or downslope winds could push toward 60-61°F. Key differentiators include frontal timing and precipitation coverage; 00Z model runs and Tuesday's NWS forecast discussion will clarify as resolution nears. Historical April 1 variability underscores inherent forecast spread two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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