Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 33–36°C (31–17.5%), driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of an active western disturbance bringing light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India through April 5. This system is reducing solar insolation and daytime heating, following recent highs near 34°C amid IMD's April outlook for normal to below-normal maximums in northern regions due to above-normal rainfall delaying summer onset. Historical early-April averages hover near 36°C, but model ensembles diverge on disturbance persistence versus partial clearing, with daily IMD bulletins expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
34°C 27%
35°C 24%
33°C or below 23%
36°C 18%
33°C or below
23%
34°C
27%
35°C
24%
36°C
18%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
1%
34°C 27%
35°C 24%
33°C or below 23%
36°C 18%
33°C or below
23%
34°C
27%
35°C
24%
36°C
18%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 33–36°C (31–17.5%), driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of an active western disturbance bringing light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India through April 5. This system is reducing solar insolation and daytime heating, following recent highs near 34°C amid IMD's April outlook for normal to below-normal maximums in northern regions due to above-normal rainfall delaying summer onset. Historical early-April averages hover near 36°C, but model ensembles diverge on disturbance persistence versus partial clearing, with daily IMD bulletins expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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