India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 3 under mainly clear skies, following a rising trend from 35.7°C on March 29 amid recent thundery developments now clearing. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 35–38°C outcomes (implied probabilities 19–24.5%), slightly favoring 37°C due to seasonal climatology in the Indo-Gangetic Plain, where April averages exceed 37°C amid pre-monsoon heating and low soil moisture. Close odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble model divergences (e.g., GFS, ECMWF), influenced by potential calm winds enhancing diurnal heating or residual clouds suppressing peaks. Daily IMD updates through April 1–2 will refine guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
37°C 25%
36°C 21%
38°C 18%
34°C or below 17%
34°C or below
17%
35°C
17%
36°C
21%
37°C
25%
38°C
18%
39°C
17%
40°C
16%
41°C
14%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
37°C 25%
36°C 21%
38°C 18%
34°C or below 17%
34°C or below
17%
35°C
17%
36°C
21%
37°C
25%
38°C
18%
39°C
17%
40°C
16%
41°C
14%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 3 under mainly clear skies, following a rising trend from 35.7°C on March 29 amid recent thundery developments now clearing. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 35–38°C outcomes (implied probabilities 19–24.5%), slightly favoring 37°C due to seasonal climatology in the Indo-Gangetic Plain, where April averages exceed 37°C amid pre-monsoon heating and low soil moisture. Close odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble model divergences (e.g., GFS, ECMWF), influenced by potential calm winds enhancing diurnal heating or residual clouds suppressing peaks. Daily IMD updates through April 1–2 will refine guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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