Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Seoul stations confirm the city's highest temperature on March 28 reached 12°C, fueling 99.9% market-implied odds for this outcome amid hazy skies, light westerly winds around 8 knots, and a post-midday cooling trend under continental high pressure. Global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converge on this low-teens peak, consistent with late-March climatology where Seoul averages 10–13°C highs. As the day nears resolution by midnight KST using official Seoul Observatory data, traders see negligible risk of exceedance barring an improbable late-evening urban heat spike or station anomaly. Updated KMA bulletins remain the key watchpoint.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$582,212 Vol.
$582,212 Vol.
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$582,212 Vol.
$582,212 Vol.
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Seoul stations confirm the city's highest temperature on March 28 reached 12°C, fueling 99.9% market-implied odds for this outcome amid hazy skies, light westerly winds around 8 knots, and a post-midday cooling trend under continental high pressure. Global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converge on this low-teens peak, consistent with late-March climatology where Seoul averages 10–13°C highs. As the day nears resolution by midnight KST using official Seoul Observatory data, traders see negligible risk of exceedance barring an improbable late-evening urban heat spike or station anomaly. Updated KMA bulletins remain the key watchpoint.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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