Météo-France's latest guidance pegs Paris's high temperature on March 28 at around 10-11°C, driving trader consensus to 69.5% implied probability for 11°C amid very cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds gusting to 45 km/h following a perturbation that crossed northwest France overnight. This cool air mass and persistent overcast conditions limit solar heating and diurnal temperature rise, aligning with current midday readings near 10°C. Forecasts from ECMWF ensembles reinforce this clustering at 10-12°C, positioning 12°C (23.5%) as the next likely outcome if minor clearing occurs afternoon. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but synoptic patterns introduce uncertainty, with evening showers potentially capping peaks; official Paris-Montsouris observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 69%
12°C 24%
10°C 5%
13°C 2.7%
$79,790 Vol.
$79,790 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
69%
12°C
24%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 69%
12°C 24%
10°C 5%
13°C 2.7%
$79,790 Vol.
$79,790 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
69%
12°C
24%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest guidance pegs Paris's high temperature on March 28 at around 10-11°C, driving trader consensus to 69.5% implied probability for 11°C amid very cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds gusting to 45 km/h following a perturbation that crossed northwest France overnight. This cool air mass and persistent overcast conditions limit solar heating and diurnal temperature rise, aligning with current midday readings near 10°C. Forecasts from ECMWF ensembles reinforce this clustering at 10-12°C, positioning 12°C (23.5%) as the next likely outcome if minor clearing occurs afternoon. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but synoptic patterns introduce uncertainty, with evening showers potentially capping peaks; official Paris-Montsouris observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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