Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological model ensembles projecting Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing a tight spread amid a building upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent 12Z forecast updates indicate subtle differences in low-level cloud timing and diurnal heating potential, differentiating the 27.5% implied probabilities for 17°C and 18°C—full sunshine could push toward 18°C, while partial overcast favors 17°C. These outcomes exceed the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, driven by positive temperature anomalies from a weakened polar vortex. New 00Z model outputs expected within hours may refine this uncertainty before the event resolves via official observations from Italian weather services.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 29. März?
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
12°C oder niedriger
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
14%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
18%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C oder höher
2%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
12°C oder niedriger
$1,177 Vol.
1%
13°C
$379 Vol.
2%
14°C
$89 Vol.
6%
15°C
$102 Vol.
9%
16°C
$104 Vol.
14%
17°C
$382 Vol.
28%
18°C
$200 Vol.
28%
19°C
$146 Vol.
18%
20°C
$112 Vol.
9%
21°C
$155 Vol.
7%
22°C oder höher
$257 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological model ensembles projecting Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing a tight spread amid a building upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent 12Z forecast updates indicate subtle differences in low-level cloud timing and diurnal heating potential, differentiating the 27.5% implied probabilities for 17°C and 18°C—full sunshine could push toward 18°C, while partial overcast favors 17°C. These outcomes exceed the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, driven by positive temperature anomalies from a weakened polar vortex. New 00Z model outputs expected within hours may refine this uncertainty before the event resolves via official observations from Italian weather services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,102Enddatum
Mar 29, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological model ensembles projecting Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing a tight spread amid a building upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent 12Z forecast updates indicate subtle differences in low-level cloud timing and diurnal heating potential, differentiating the 27.5% implied probabilities for 17°C and 18°C—full sunshine could push toward 18°C, while partial overcast favors 17°C. These outcomes exceed the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, driven by positive temperature anomalies from a weakened polar vortex. New 00Z model outputs expected within hours may refine this uncertainty before the event resolves via official observations from Italian weather services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,102Enddatum
Mar 29, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological model ensembles projecting Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing a tight spread amid a building upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent 12Z forecast updates indicate subtle differences in low-level cloud timing and diurnal heating potential, differentiating the 27.5% implied probabilities for 17°C and 18°C—full sunshine could push toward 18°C, while partial overcast favors 17°C. These outcomes exceed the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, driven by positive temperature anomalies from a weakened polar vortex. New 00Z model outputs expected within hours may refine this uncertainty before the event resolves via official observations from Italian weather services.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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