Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-83°F (32.5% implied probability), 80-81°F (23%), and 84-85°F (21.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 82-84°F amid rebuilding upper-level ridging after a sharp cold front on March 28 suppressed today's highs to the low 60s°F. Subsidence warming, southwesterly mid-level winds advecting Gulf moisture, and mostly clear skies with light surface flow favor rapid diurnal heating well above the late-March climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing efficiency—which could boost peaks by 1-2°F—and potential fair-weather cumulus development shading surfaces to cap at 80°F; monitor evening NWS updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at official Dallas stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 29. März?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
$19,596 Vol.
$19,596 Vol.
73°F oder weniger
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
19%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
$19,596 Vol.
$19,596 Vol.
73°F oder weniger
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
19%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 82-83°F (32.5% implied probability), 80-81°F (23%), and 84-85°F (21.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 82-84°F amid rebuilding upper-level ridging after a sharp cold front on March 28 suppressed today's highs to the low 60s°F. Subsidence warming, southwesterly mid-level winds advecting Gulf moisture, and mostly clear skies with light surface flow favor rapid diurnal heating well above the late-March climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing efficiency—which could boost peaks by 1-2°F—and potential fair-weather cumulus development shading surfaces to cap at 80°F; monitor evening NWS updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at official Dallas stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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